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"If you don't follow this guy on the Flat you need your head examining"

Successful Betting provides betting information and advice from ex-pro backer Mick Taylor, and is guaranteed to make you think more about your betting habits. Don't listen to tipster waffle any longer. Are they making money when YOU lose?

Latest: Cheveton Won 9-2 

"I teach people how not to bet"  - Mick Taylor April 2001

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31 July 2008 Massive SB gamble cleans up.           The race of interest is the 4.05 Goodwood when the Ladbroke handicap at Newmarket a couple of weeks ago is the key to this race. Yesterdays winner Love Galore was 4th and ran well next time out and then won yesterday and it's a brave man to go against that horse today, However, I have a feeling it won't run, and with Fifteen Love already a non runner those were 2 I considered real threats to our selection plus Steel Tango who arrived on the scene very late from a disadvantaged draw

It is no secret that Indian Days is an expected payer for us this season after a brilliant win at Redcar early doors. James Given tried Indian Days at Royal Ascot and it ran a very good race and only trouble in running prevented the horse from being placed over a distance that was too much for the horse. If you get chance to see the Redcar win where he won with a ton in hand you will see why I feel the hike in weight did not stop him from running a big race. Even the run previously was strengthened by Collection's brilliant Royal Ascot win. Went up 9lbs for that Redcar win and looked to have the Labroke won at the 2 pole but eventually finished a very good 3rd and being unable to quicken in the ground.

Today I feel the horse has everything in it's favour to run a massive race. Only a 3lb rise in the weights which is fair and The ground is fast whereas the ground in the Ladbroke was my only worry that day and prevented me from having a big bet. The draw is perfect and hopefully Indian Days will be up with the pace. If everything goes to plan we will get a good return here and I just hope it runs to form.

Result - Very exciting race bringing back memories of one of Mick Taylor's greatest ever gambles on Jalfrezi on this same track in 1995

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19 June 2008 What dreams are made of                   I hope to have a beauty in the Britannia Stakes provided it doesn't rain, the horse is one that I had earmarked for a big payer this year but it cannot act on soft ground under any circumstances and it's action goes all wrong. The horse is Fifteen Love who was highly rated as a 2 year old and was once considered a guineas horse until flopping in soft ground in the Group 3 Horris Hill Stakes. I have to admit though, I wouldn't do anything that is drawn high and thankfully we have a good pitch. Believe me this could lead from start to finish and I praying it reproduces it's form on this very fast ground. Trading at 33-1 at the moment and this race does produce shocks, however, this won't be that big of a shock as far as I am concerned.

Result - A brilliant result for Successful Bettingwith some clients taking an early 50-1 

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7 May 2008 Great start to the season                        I’m going to try and get on a horse that was so impressive last time out that the chances are it will never win again after today cos the handicapper will polax it. The horse is Allied Powers who I watched win on my birthday. One could argue that the ground is so totally different that it might seem silly to back it in faster conditions, however, this horse is a rapid improver and you can tell that from the Haydock race, where the horse was very unlucky, and of course the Ponte race where it could have won 15 lengths if the jockey hadn’t stopped riding and the horse was slowly pulling himself up. One cannot say it won’t act on today’s ground because it has never experienced it but purely in the improvement factor we have to play in this better class and as the only horse in the field totally proven at the distance, I take it to defy a penalty easily. I expect it to be handy throughout and kick before the bend to make it difficult for anything to come on the outside.

Result - A great turn of foot and and Allied Powers was easy winner at 4-1

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30 May 2008 Nice end to the month                          The Victoria Cup at Ascot is a major player when it comes to finding future winners, and the 3rd horse King of Dixie is underrated so don't be surprised if this horse romps away with the 2.10 at York. The performance was remarkable, so much so that you could argue the jockey lost the plot after the horse reared up in the stalls and got left 10 lengths, but then actually got to the front too early and blew up. This was a remarkable run and there is very little even with proven ability that will stop this horse if everything goes to plan. Trainers states this is very easy to train and is the stable star and worth getting up for each morning. Outstanding chance but the price is still a bit stingy.

Result - Came from last to first and King of Dixie won with a great deal in hand at 11-4.

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4 June 2007 Biggest bet so far this season                I want to take on Borderlescott tonight with a horse I thing produced a better previous performance than the favourite did at Haydock last time. I appreciate Borderlescott was beaten by a serious improver in Sierra Vista but it was still a shock that it was beaten at very short odds. This is tougher and whilst Borderlescott may win I think to risk it at a short price again is ludicrous and I have to take it on with Assertive whose performance at York last time in a Group 2 was excellent. This race has been targeted by Richard Hannon again and I think once Richard Hughes gets this horse on the rails from the high draw it will take some passing, and hopefully put to bed the poor run the horse had in this race last year.

Result - Assertive followed the plan to the letter and won comfortably at 3-1

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18 May 2007 Bookmakers hate the EW double.      Very nice handicaps throughout the day some good prices but again the ground will prevent anything really serious. The bet that does stand out though is High Treason who ran on Wednesday and should have been much closer to the winner but was pocketed. Never had a blow IMO and still finished second and looked as if he hadn't had a race. He's out again very quickly and no choice but to get involved. 

Result - High Treason was coupled with Misaro and the bookies were take for an estimated £22,000

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May 29 2006 Patience is the key - First Max Bet          Get ready for a max bet in the Zetland Gold Cup. This was always going to be a max bet in this race on a horse that is the perfect 4 year handicapper for me. It is very genuine and comes from off the pace. I didn't like the draw too much but I paid heavily from supporting draw stats last season and I don't thing I need to be too worried. This horse cannot finish out of the first four IMO and if it does I will be pretty upset as this is the first major bet that I know serious money is going down. The horse is Chantaco, and if you look at the two runs that this horse has had this season you wonder why it isn't unbeaten. What makes this good for us is that on those performances it should be higher in the handicap and it will be very hard to beat this afternoon.

Result - Could have been called the winner from along way out but only a great ride got the horse home Chantanco WON 4-1

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Aug 26 2005 The long wait rewarded at last. Shareholder Info is straightforward. I have always had it in my mind that when Tax Free runs again it would have been a max bet. Sadly, things haven't gone too well in August and my normal boldness has not come to the forefront. In addition to that the price needs to be better for a max bet in such a competitive handicap. I can only see one winner though and had this horse not had one race this season over a mile it would have been unbeaten in 4 races. It is going to take a seriously good horse to lower Tax Free's colours this afternoon. Dandy has had this race as a target all season and the fact that it is later than normal due to Ascot means he has a little more to look forward too. A very strong bet indeed worthy of bigger status but I will reduce the bet on behalf of my dismal York record..but in my defense I have produced the winner of this event on quite a few occasions in the past.

Result - Tax Free rewards a massive gamble from an early 7-2

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July 15 2005 Superb staking using system bets. Both system bets were non runners yesterday but we stay with the same format in that it is pointless trying to find a shareholder bet that doesn't stand out when we intend to shell out over £500 in system bets. The system has been performing very well during July but today is clearly a tester.

I am going to reduce the bet on the system bets today to £70 and then use the difference to play all of these in 35 x £2 4 folds. Could be exciting but this is also very logical because if 4 do drop in you will make more money that by just playing the singles at the normal stake. Not only that if there is success early we can maybe get into a layback situation but I will let you know if that looks possible.

Result - 4 Winners return £921.75 plus a further £857.50 for the system which when stakes deducted returns a total of £1709.25

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July 8 2005 It doesn't always go well as long term Max Bet is binned due to draw I think you all ought to be breathing a sigh of relief cos I planned a Max bet in the John Smith's Cup at York and I had my prayer mat out for a low draw. The thing you have to take into account is the although Mullins Bay is well handicapped and we had a bet on him at York only to be beaten by a horse than won a listed race next time out by 17 lengths, you could say Mullins Bay is a good thing for this race and it may win. However, I simply refuse to back a horse with decent money over 1m 2f from such a wide draw and it shouldn't win unless it defys logic and only a Prescott can do that at York. 

Result - Mullins Bay WON 4-1

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June 24 2005 First MAX BET of the season       This has been a nightmare of day and I am not going to back out. At one point the rain was throwing it down but it has eased considerably and I feel we have to go with the indended MAXIMUM bet. The horse is Out After Dark. Ever since this horse ran at Beverley on 7 May 2005 when putting up a tremendous performance off 85 it was earmarked as a future Max Bet. I have actually turned it down twice..once at Goodwood and once at Beverley again when the price was 13-8. The horse it beat that day opposes and should actually turn tables if you take into account the runner up came from stall one at Beverley...it won't though!!

Out After Dark is a real battler who arrives at just the right time and is very difficult to pass, the stable have had this race planned out for some time and I will be very disappointed if this fails to make the frame, no horse in the field is in as good a current for as this. The bet is EW for insurance and I hope to make our first Maximum stake a winning one. An outstanding bet IMO.

Result - The camera angle at this track made it an awful race to watch until the horse took off in the last furlong to catch Chookie Heiton on the line. WON 5-1

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June 12 2005
A little speculative maybe but I noted this horse's turn of foot at Southwell during April, and noted it as a future winner. It has ran twice since in unfavourable conditions and I have a note to back at 7 furlongs on fast ground. Well it's not 7 furlongs but the horse has the right conditions together with a good draw and a fantastic price for a horse that IMO is still very well handicapped. Must play in a small way at odds which currently around 20-1. 

Result - Backed in from an early 20-1 No Grouse wins by a short-head at a SP of 12-1.

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June 7 2005
Willhewiz is a talented handicapper who is better than his current rating. He won two races off 78 under today's conditions and is surprisingly running off 74 today. The horse Cape St Vincent who beat him last time out is possibly an improving sort and the way they both annihilated the rest of the field at Bath would indicate to me that the horse is still in top form and quite capable of taking this weak handicap. As this race was won by the stable last year I would assume it has to be a target again. Anything above 6-1 is a fair price IMO.

Result - Willhewiz leads from start to finish WON 13-2.

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